Our multi-model AI ensemble analyzes 82 weather models daily to find mispriced temperature contracts. Free signals delivered to your inbox before the market opens.
We combine 31 GFS members + 51 ECMWF members into probability distributions. NWS bias correction removes systematic errors city-by-city.
Our model probabilities are compared against Kalshi market prices. When we find a statistically significant mispricing (8%+ edge), it's a signal.
Every morning before markets open, you get the day's predictions: which city, which threshold, which direction, and our confidence level.
Real trades, real results. Updated daily after settlement.
| Date | Market | Signal | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10 LIVE | Dallas High >85°F | NO (actual: 82°F) | WIN +$0.66 |
| Apr 11 LIVE | Minneapolis High <50°F | NO (forecast: 50.7°F) | PENDING |
| Apr 11 LIVE | Chicago Min >38°F | YES (forecast: 36.1°F) | PENDING |
| Apr 8 | San Francisco High >73°F | NO | WIN |
| Apr 8 | Miami High >83°F | NO | WIN |
| Apr 6 | Denver High >70°F | NO | WIN |
| Apr 5 | Houston High <68°F | YES | WIN |
| Apr 5 | Miami High >79°F | YES | WIN |
Safety-regime results (high-confidence signals only): 7W / 1L (88%). Full sample including early calibration: 8W / 8L. Early losses were from pre-calibration, low-confidence signals we no longer trade.
LAX · MIA · CHI · AUS · DEN · BOS · DAL · NYC · PHX · SEA · SFO · ATL · HOU · MIN
High temperature and low temperature markets scanned 3x daily (5 AM, 7 AM, 9 AM CT). Most edge found pre-10 AM when markets lag NWS forecast updates.
No spam. Just AI weather predictions before the market opens.
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